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India's direct selling industry to top Rs 25,000 crore in FY26, but $2 per-person spend caps growth: ADSEI-Kantar

Our read

Direct selling is likely to cross ₹25,000 crore in FY26, but low per-person spend and wellness dependence keep it near the ₹31,095 crore FY29 baseline unless policy and category mix shift.

For operators

With 91 lakh active sellers and wellness at around 61% of sales, the lever is lifting the roughly $2 per-person spend through a wider range and repeat purchase, not recruiting more sellers.

Watch

Wellness share of sales versus the 61% reported

The report

ADSEI's report puts the industry at Rs 23,522 crore in FY25 and projects Rs 31,095 crore by FY29 in its business-as-usual case. Growth will depend on raising consumption per seller and productivity, not just expanding the seller base.

FY29 outcomes range from ₹26,890 crore to ₹35,699 crore, against a ₹23,522 crore FY25 base
  • FY25 industry value₹23,522 crore
  • FY26 projectedabove ₹25,000 crore
  • FY29 pessimistic case₹26,890 crore
  • FY29 business-as-usual₹31,095 crore
  • FY29 optimistic case₹35,699 crore

Reported figures

From the report. Source details below

Active direct sellers: 91 lakh

What to watch next

  • Active seller count versus the 91 lakh reported
  • Any central or state rule change or enforcement action on direct selling

Likely next moves

Our read of what comes next — analysis, not reported by the source.

  • Regulators may keep scrutinising direct selling against pyramid-scheme and consumer-protection norms, which could slow aggressive recruitment.
  • Rival retail channels such as e-commerce and social commerce may keep competing for the same wellness buyers.

The source

Source Read the source at Moneycontrol

Filed

Also reported by Times of India, Financial Express, The Hindu BusinessLine, ET Retail

First seen